您好,欢迎访问东北财经大学管理科学与工程学院!(请使用IE8及以上浏览器访问,360浏览器请开启极速模式) English| 中文| 加入收藏
◆ 新闻公告

管理科学与工程高端学者专题课程:杨剑波,徐冬玲
时间:2018年05月07日 信息来源:本站原创 点击:

主 讲 人:杨剑波,徐冬玲
授课地点:劝学楼425
主办单位:管理科学与工程学院
 
                                      课程安排
课程题目 时间
1 Bayesian Decision Analysis under Risk and Utility 5月14日(周一)14:30-17:30
2 Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) – Problem Structuring, Software and Preferences 5月15日(周二)
8:30-12:30
3 MCDA Models, Score, Weight, Methods and Tools 5月16日(周三)
8:30-12:30
 

课程简介
1. Course Session 1:
Title: Bayesian Decision Analysis under Risk and Utility
Abstract
This session covers such subjects as decision tree analysis, utility theory, and Bayesian theorem for multi-stage decision analysis. Several topics on these subjects will be discussed using examples. These include how decision tree is formulated and applied; the influence of decision maker’s behaviours on decision making processes and outcomes; preference representation in terms of lottery; the main steps of Von Neumann – Morgenstern Approach for definition of utility; how utility is measured in decision analysis; the main types of utility functions; how utility is estimated and used for decision making; introduction of Bayesian theorem to transformation of information for decision analysis; some methods for estimation of subjective probability.
 
2 Course Session 2:
Title: Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) – Problem Structuring, Software and Preferences
Abstract
This session uses a software tool to introduce MCDA including its main concepts and problem structuring process. The value measurement theory and main preference modelling approaches in MCDA will be discussed. The main topics covered in this session include the introduction to the basic concepts of MCDA from a range of application areas such as decision making in different levels of management, risk and performance assessment, supplier assessment, and quality analysis; main methods for MCDA problem structuring / modelling such as identification and definition of MCDA problems and some tools for problem structuring. Some MCDA software tools are also discussed and illustrated in the session. This session will also cover several topics about value measurement theory including different types of preference relationships, value independence assumptions such as evidential independence, judgmental independence, preferential independence and additive independence; distance-based preference modelling such as satisficing level models and aspiration level models.
 
3 Course Session 3: 
Title: MCDA Models, Score, Weight, Methods and Tools
Abstract
This session introduces several subjects about the conventional methods and processes for multiple criteria decision analysis. The main topics include typical MCDA models, techniques for data pre-processing in the cases where there are no obvious decision makers, elicitation of scores and value functions, and elicitation of weights among criteria such as direct weight assignment and pairwise comparison methods including the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for weight assignment. Simple methods for MCDA will be discussed, including a simple combination procedure for routine decision making with multiple criteria such as initial screening method and lexicographic approach, the simple additive value function approach for MCDA and its limitations, and several examples to illustrate the main process of MCDA.
 
主讲人简介
杨剑波,曼彻斯特大学商学院教授,决策与认知科学研究中心主任,合肥工业大学长江学者讲座教授。主要从事不确定性多准则决策分析、多目标优化、智能决策支持系统、混合定量和定性决策建模技术的研究。
杨剑波教授现就职于曼彻斯特大学商学院决策科学与系统专业,兼任决策与认知科学研究中心主任,合肥工业大学长江学者讲座教授,华中科技大学客座教授。主要从事不确定性多准则决策分析、多目标优化、智能决策支持系统、混合定量和定性决策建模技术的研究。目前的应用研究方向为财务决策、生产管理、风险和安全性的建模与分析、质量建摸与评价、产品、系统、项目、政策等的集成评价。剑波教授在决策科学与系统工程研究方面颇有建树,是具有较深的学术造诣中青年专家。他曾主持有中国国家自然科学基金会、英国工程与自然科学基金会、欧盟、英国经济与社会科学基金会等资助的多个科研项目。他曾获得中国科学技术协会首届青年科技奖(1988),英国文化委员会博士后奖学金(1989)和德国洪堡学着奖学金(1990)。出版著作4部,论文200余篇,开发了基于Windows的证据推理智能决策系统(IDS)。
杨剑波教授2004年曾受聘为合肥工业大学管理学院客座教授。同时还兼任英国工程与自然科学基金会评审委员会委员、国际系统科学杂志顾问委员会委员、国际自动化与计算杂志编委、亚洲质量杂志编委、美国IEEE Transaction on Systems, MAN and Cybernetics-Part A:Systems and Humans副编辑、华中科技大学系统研究所特聘教授等职务。此外还兼任旅英中国自动化与计算机学会理事,秘书长(2001-2002),理事长(2002-2003)。1988年起至今,为中国系统学会会员。

 
撰稿:王晔    审核:唐加福    单位:管理科学与工程学院